BUZZ - Morgan Stanley holds a "cautious" outlook on US homebuilders, warns of affordability concerns
路透社2026/10/01 10:12October 1 - ** Morgan Stanley initiates coverage of U.S. homebuilders, holds a "cautious" view on the sector
** Housing affordability, incentives, and margin pressures are the main challenges—the brokerage noted
** Morgan Stanley stated that affordability issues have kept existing home sales range-bound, limiting the supply of second-hand homes and continuing to pressure the new home market; lower mortgage rates have improved housing affordability
** Initiates coverage of Toll Brothers (TOL.N) with an "overweight" rating due to its affluent customer base, lower sensitivity to interest rates, and strong pricing power
** Analysts stated that D.R. Horton DHI.N remains exposed to affordability pressures faced by first-time homebuyers; PulteGroup PHM.N benefits from a favorable buyer mix, but has not translated this into stronger earnings per share (EPS) growth
** Ratings and Target Prices:
Company Name | Rating | Target Price |
Toll Brothers | Overweight | $159 |
D.R. Horton | Neutral | $151 |
PulteGroup | Equal-weight | $128 |
Lennar | Underweight | $65 |
KB Home | Underweight | $39 |
NVR | Underweight | $5,058 |
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