Zcash eyes 15% drop as price approaches critical $400 support

Zcash has erased most of its mid-June recovery, bringing the privacy coin back to a major support zone as sellers regain control.

According to crypto.news data, Zcash (ZEC) traded near $412 on June 24, down roughly 15% from its June 18 high around $500. The retreat comes weeks after developers revealed a critical soundness flaw in Zcash’s Orchard shielded pool that theoretically could have allowed undetectable supply inflation.

Although the issue was patched through an emergency upgrade, uncertainty surrounding whether the flaw had ever been exploited continues to weigh on sentiment.

Selling pressure has accelerated as investors reassess long-term trust in the privacy-focused cryptocurrency. The disclosure prompted several high-profile holders to reduce exposure, including former ZEC supporter Arthur Hayes, who confirmed earlier this month that he had exited his position.

Despite a sharp rebound toward $500 following the initial panic, buyers have struggled to maintain momentum above major resistance levels.

At the same time, conditions across the crypto market remain unfavorable. Bitcoin’s recent breakdown below key support zones triggered widespread liquidations across derivatives markets and reduced risk appetite among traders.

Capital has continued flowing toward yield-generating assets and artificial intelligence-related equities, while expectations for prolonged higher interest rates have strengthened demand for traditional safe-haven investments.

Technical breakdown puts $400 support in focus

The four-hour chart shows Zcash losing momentum after failing to hold above the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level at approximately $494. Price has since fallen back toward the 0.382 retracement support near $401, which now represents the most important level for bulls to defend.

A descending trendline drawn from the June highs remains intact, reinforcing the sequence of lower highs established since the post-crash recovery peaked near $540.

A break below the $400-$401 region would expose the next major Fibonacci support near $343, representing a potential decline of roughly 15% from current levels.

Momentum indicators continue to favor sellers. The 14-period Relative Strength Index has dropped to around 34, placing it near oversold territory but still below the neutral 50 level. Meanwhile, the MACD remains in bearish alignment, with both signal lines below zero and histogram bars expanding in negative territory.

Market participants are increasingly focused on the $400 area. Commenting on the matter, crypto analyst Altcoin Sherpa warned that a breakdown could trigger another leg lower.

“$ZEC better pray that $400 can hold or we’re seeing $350 imo.”

The analyst added that exponential moving averages on the four-hour timeframe remain firmly bearish despite the magnitude of the recent decline.

Liquidation clusters reinforce resistance near $430

Derivatives positioning also presents challenges for any recovery attempt. CoinGlass liquidation data shows the largest concentration of leveraged positions sitting between $427 and $430, creating a significant overhead resistance zone where short-term rallies could encounter heavy selling pressure.

Additional liquidity clusters are visible around $440, while nearby support pockets have formed between $405 and $410. The concentration of liquidation levels above the current price suggests many traders have opened bearish positions during the recent decline, increasing the likelihood of volatility around those zones.

Open interest has remained elevated despite falling prices, a combination that often accompanies fresh short positioning rather than long accumulation. The long-short balance has also deteriorated in recent sessions as traders continue betting on further downside.

Unless Zcash can reclaim the $430 region and invalidate the current lower-high structure, attention is likely to remain fixed on the $400 support level.

A decisive break below that threshold would place the $350-$343 area at the center of traders’ downside targets heading into the final week of June.