Summary of major events on the evening of May 10
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Is the “AI bank run” coming? Apollo warns: AI assistants may drain banks' cheap deposits, which will pose risks to the financial system
Torsten Slok, Chief Economist at Apollo Global Management, stated that if consumers begin to heavily rely on AI assistants such as Muse under Meta and transfer cash to higher-yielding accounts, it could pose risks to the financial system.
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Rare in 25 years! The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield surpasses the S&P 500 earnings yield
The 10-year US Treasury yield has surpassed 5%, making bonds more attractive relative to stocks than at any point in the past 25 years. The earnings yield of stocks, as measured by the inverse of the S&P 500’s price-to-earnings ratio, is now lower than the 10-year US Treasury yield, resulting in a clear yield suppression effect on the stock market from bonds. According to the Shiller model, the S&P 500 may outperform bonds by only about 1% annually over the next decade. The 20-year paradigm of stocks outperforming bonds has officially come to an end.
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