The market holds an optimistic outlook on the US-Iran peace agreement, and gold prices are expected to achieve a weekly gain.
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Torsten Slok, Chief Economist at Apollo Global Management, stated that if consumers begin to heavily rely on AI assistants such as Muse under Meta and transfer cash to higher-yielding accounts, it could pose risks to the financial system.
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Rare in 25 years! The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield surpasses the S&P 500 earnings yield
The 10-year US Treasury yield has surpassed 5%, making bonds more attractive relative to stocks than at any point in the past 25 years. The earnings yield of stocks, as measured by the inverse of the S&P 500’s price-to-earnings ratio, is now lower than the 10-year US Treasury yield, resulting in a clear yield suppression effect on the stock market from bonds. According to the Shiller model, the S&P 500 may outperform bonds by only about 1% annually over the next decade. The 20-year paradigm of stocks outperforming bonds has officially come to an end.
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